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Red157
3661105.1
5919111.7
3196119.0
Blue343
633295.8
1533151.7
4561190.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1743460100300400500600700157343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#10
119.00.0
117.5117.6
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
blue by 71.9
190.91.5
178.0179.5
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
5919
#16
111.71.0
102.1103.2
Auto17.3
Teleop82.4
End16.7
blue by 39.9
1533
#11
151.74.7
119.8124.5
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
Third
105.10.4
97.697.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.3
End12.7
red by 9.3
6332
#15
95.81.0
99.598.4
Auto17.8
Teleop77.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed