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Red324
6899105.6
587121.1
6639123.1
Blue388
6932110.3
4828112.7
6908137.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542450100200300400500600700800324388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6639
#30
123.13.4
117.9121.4
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
blue by 14.1
137.31.2
125.2126.4
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Second
587
#20
121.11.4
123.0121.6
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
red by 8.4
4828
#23
112.70.3
107.6107.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6
Third
6899
#12
105.60.2
99.399.1
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8
blue by 4.7
6932
#28
110.30.6
96.095.5
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed