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Red45
476796.8
5727111.2
4828112.7
Blue352
6003132.8
587121.1
6888118.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262298010020040050060045352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#23
112.71.5
107.9109.4
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6
blue by 20.1
6003
#19
132.81.6
119.3120.9
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3
Second
5727
#26
111.25.0
110.4115.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.7
End17.5
blue by 9.9
587
#20
121.11.1
121.6120.5
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
Third
4767
#27
96.84.9
101.3106.1
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
blue by 21.6
6888
#13
118.45.6
101.0106.5
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed