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Qual 282018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red356
621494.6
5190205.7
1261121.2
Blue208
4561190.9
5919111.7
384591.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321252100200400500356208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#1
205.72.5
188.2→190.7
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 14.8
4561
#2
190.91.3
179.5→180.8
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
1261
#5
121.20.4
116.4→116.9
Auto17.3
Teleop92.3
End11.4
red by 9.5
5919
#16
111.70.4
103.2→103.6
Auto17.3
Teleop82.4
End16.7
Third
6214
#22
94.60.6
89.9→90.5
Auto16.8
Teleop75.2
End1.9
red by 3.6
3845
#32DQ
91.00.6
94.1→93.5
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed