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Red229
1225121.5
5679124.4
7265104.6
Blue323
633295.8
6908137.3
3680101.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442710100200400500600229323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.40.2
117.1117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
blue by 12.8
137.32.2
126.4128.6
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Second
1225
#31
121.51.2
122.7121.5
Auto13.2
Teleop96.1
End13.1
red by 20.2
3680
#25
101.41.0
93.594.5
Auto15.8
Teleop76.5
End9.1
Third
7265
#17
104.60.9
92.093.0
Auto15.3
Teleop78.0
End15.2
red by 8.9
6332
#15
95.80.8
98.497.6
Auto17.8
Teleop77.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed