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Red279
6003132.8
5511130.2
6639123.1
Blue290
3196119.0
6899105.6
3229137.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202440100200400500600700279290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6003
#19
132.81.8
120.9122.7
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3
blue by 4.5
137.31.5
135.9137.4
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
Second
5511
#21
130.20.2
134.0134.1
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
red by 11.2
3196
#10
119.00.4
117.6117.2
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
Third
6639
#30
123.12.4
121.4123.7
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
red by 17.5
6899
#12
105.60.1
99.198.9
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed