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Red209
1533151.7
6899105.6
476796.8
Blue405
6888118.4
5190205.7
5544148.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1504130100200300500600700209405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#11
151.75.9
127.9133.9
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
blue by 54.0
205.72.6
190.7193.4
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
Second
6899
#12
105.60.3
98.999.2
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8
blue by 42.4
148.03.1
131.7134.7
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Third
4767
#27
96.83.2
105.2102.0
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
blue by 21.6
6888
#13
118.42.4
111.6114.0
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed