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Red349
5511130.2
3229137.3
4935138.5
Blue260
5919111.7
3680101.4
6003132.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3611860100300400500600349260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#14
138.50.2
138.7138.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.2
End9.9
red by 5.7
6003
#19
132.81.1
124.0125.1
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3
Second
137.30.3
139.1139.4
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
red by 25.6
5919
#16
111.70.1
103.6103.7
Auto17.3
Teleop82.4
End16.7
Third
5511
#21
130.20.1
134.1134.2
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
red by 28.8
3680
#25
101.40.7
96.497.1
Auto15.8
Teleop76.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed