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Red250
7265104.6
5727111.2
3229137.3
Blue363
3661105.1
4561190.9
476796.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403470100200300400500600250363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.30.5
137.8137.4
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
blue by 53.6
190.91.2
186.1187.2
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
5727
#26
111.20.2
111.0111.2
Auto14.3
Teleop81.7
End17.5
red by 6.1
105.12.9
100.3103.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.3
End12.7
Third
7265
#17
104.61.8
101.8103.6
Auto15.3
Teleop78.0
End15.2
red by 7.8
4767
#27
96.81.1
97.996.8
Auto15.9
Teleop76.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed