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Red331
5544148.0
3680101.4
6899105.6
Blue217
6908137.3
3196119.0
5854117.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247308100200400500331217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.01.5
144.5146.0
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
red by 10.7
137.30.0
137.8137.8
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Second
6899
#12
105.61.4
103.0104.4
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8
blue by 13.4
3196
#10
119.01.2
116.5117.7
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
Third
3680
#25
101.40.0
101.3101.4
Auto15.8
Teleop76.5
End9.1
blue by 16.2
5854
#24
117.61.6
115.3116.8
Auto14.8
Teleop91.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed