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Quarterfinal 1-22018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red430
5190212.5
1533192.1
3229135.5
Blue206
4828116.5
3196137.4
5544160.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4332340100200300400500600430206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#3
212.50.3
210.7→211.0
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
red by 51.9
5544
#16
160.50.1
160.6→160.5
Auto18.0
Teleop125.1
End16.1
Second
1533
#1
192.10.2
192.5→192.3
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
red by 54.7
3196
#13
137.40.8
136.6→137.4
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
Third
3229
#19
135.50.4
136.7→136.3
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
red by 19.0
4828
#25
116.50.1
116.6→116.5
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End6.8