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Semifinal 1-12018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red439
5190212.5
1533192.1
3229135.5
Blue217
2059214.7
2655185.1
6003133.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397329200300500600700439217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#3
212.50.3
211.0→211.3
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
blue by 2.2
2059
#8
214.70.1
214.6→214.7
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
Second
1533
#1
192.10.1
192.3→192.1
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
red by 7.0
2655
#5
185.10.2
185.7→185.4
Auto22.6
Teleop140.9
End18.8
Third
3229
#19
135.50.3
136.3→136.0
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
red by 1.7
6003
#17
133.80.2
134.3→134.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2