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Quarterfinal 2-12018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red350
2059214.7
2655185.1
6003133.8
Blue297
2682161.4
4290169.1
6500136.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364328100200300400500600350297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#8
214.70.3
213.9→214.2
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
red by 45.6
4290
#6
169.10.3
168.3→168.6
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
Second
2655
#5
185.10.1
186.0→185.9
Auto22.6
Teleop140.9
End18.8
red by 23.7
2682
#12
161.40.1
161.7→161.6
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
Third
6003
#17
133.80.1
134.6→134.5
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2
blue by 3.1
6500
#30
136.90.2
137.4→137.2
Auto16.6
Teleop105.9
End13.2