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Semifinal 2-12018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red391
4561199.3
6502173.5
587126.8
Blue297
2642214.9
3737156.3
5160134.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369368300320340360380391297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#10
199.30.2
198.6→198.8
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
blue by 15.6
2642
#7
214.90.1
214.8→214.9
Auto23.6
Teleop159.1
End32.9
Second
6502
#2
173.50.6
171.4→172.0
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
red by 17.3
3737
#4
156.30.2
156.0→156.2
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
Third
587
#14
126.80.3
125.6→125.9
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
blue by 7.5
5160
#28
134.20.2
134.6→134.4
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1