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Red429
2642214.9
3737156.3
5160134.2
Blue124
3459152.8
900145.4
5511128.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396300100200500600700429124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.90.0
214.8214.8
Auto23.6
Teleop159.1
End32.9
red by 62.1
3459
#15
152.80.3
152.4152.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
Second
156.30.1
155.8155.9
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
red by 10.9
900
#9
145.40.0
145.5145.5
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
Third
5160
#28
134.20.2
135.0134.8
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 6.2
5511
#18
128.00.3
127.6127.9
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3