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Quarterfinal 4-22018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red401
2642214.9
3737156.3
5160134.2
Blue236
3459152.8
900145.4
5511128.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402290200500600401236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#7
214.90.0
214.8→214.8
Auto23.6
Teleop159.1
End32.9
red by 62.1
3459
#15
152.80.1
152.7→152.8
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
Second
3737
#4
156.30.1
155.9→156.0
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
red by 10.9
900
#9
145.40.1
145.5→145.4
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
Third
5160
#28
134.20.2
134.8→134.6
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 6.2
5511
#18
128.00.1
127.9→128.0
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3