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Qual 102018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red387
2682161.4
6502173.5
6215114.3
Blue327
2642214.9
3737156.3
5160134.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315380100200500600700800387327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#2
173.51.7
159.1→160.7
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
blue by 41.4
2642
#7
214.91.5
207.3→208.8
Auto23.6
Teleop159.1
End32.9
Second
2682
#12
161.41.0
155.8→156.9
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
red by 5.1
3737
#4
156.30.5
147.3→147.7
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
Third
6215
#31
114.30.0
119.5→119.5
Auto15.5
Teleop86.2
End10.4
blue by 20.0
5160
#28
134.20.5
136.9→136.4
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed