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Qual 112018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red373
3506140.1
3229135.5
1533192.1
Blue355
900145.4
4561199.3
587126.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367313100200400500600700373355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#1
192.13.0
177.2→180.3
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
blue by 7.2
4561
#10
199.30.3
192.9→193.3
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
Second
3506
#23
140.10.6
144.3→143.7
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End11.2
blue by 5.2
900
#9
145.40.3
140.8→141.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
Third
3229
#19
135.50.7
137.3→138.0
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
red by 8.7
587
#14
126.80.9
121.3→122.2
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed