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Red257
4290169.1
900145.4
6729115.8
Blue292
6565105.2
4795171.8
3459152.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319294200400500600257292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.11.4
157.9159.3
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
blue by 2.7
4795
#11
171.80.2
170.8170.6
Auto23.3
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Second
900
#9
145.40.9
143.6144.5
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
blue by 7.4
3459
#15
152.80.7
149.9150.6
Auto17.7
Teleop116.5
End19.6
Third
6729
#20
115.80.4
116.6117.0
Auto15.8
Teleop87.3
End9.9
red by 10.6
6565
#24
105.20.3
99.599.8
Auto17.1
Teleop80.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed