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Qual 312018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red467
6502173.5
4561199.3
3737156.3
Blue327
3229135.5
6932116.8
3196137.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449228100300400500600700800467327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#10
199.30.4
194.8→195.2
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
red by 61.9
3196
#13
137.42.3
124.4→126.7
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
Second
6502
#2
173.51.4
165.8→167.2
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
red by 38.0
3229
#19
135.50.3
138.0→137.6
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
Third
3737
#4
156.31.2
148.2→149.4
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
red by 39.4
6932
#32
116.80.2
117.7→117.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed