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Qual 362018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red264
1533192.1
3196137.4
6003133.8
Blue366
4290169.1
3506140.1
4935135.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347293200250400450500550600264366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#1
192.11.6
190.4→192.0
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
red by 23.0
4290
#6
169.11.0
159.3→160.2
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
Second
3196
#13
137.42.3
126.7→129.1
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
blue by 2.7
3506
#23
140.10.8
142.6→141.8
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End11.2
Third
6003
#17
133.80.2
136.3→136.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2
blue by 1.4
4935
#27
135.21.1
137.4→136.4
Auto17.6
Teleop105.8
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed