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Qual 372018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red307
3737156.3
900145.4
2059214.7
Blue256
6500136.9
5511128.0
5190212.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370321200300400500600307256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#8
214.70.5
210.1→210.6
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
red by 2.2
5190
#3
212.50.1
207.4→207.3
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
Second
3737
#4
156.31.5
149.4→151.0
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
red by 19.3
6500
#30
136.90.4
134.9→135.3
Auto16.6
Teleop105.9
End13.2
Third
900
#9
145.40.5
144.5→145.0
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
red by 17.3
5511
#18
128.00.1
126.8→126.8
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed