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Red485
5160134.2
1533192.1
5518120.1
Blue315
4828116.5
6908136.3
2655185.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346303100200400500600700485315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.10.9
192.0192.9
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
red by 7.0
185.10.9
184.5185.4
Auto22.6
Teleop140.9
End18.8
Second
5160
#28
134.20.6
136.7137.2
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
blue by 2.0
6908
#21
136.30.5
135.6135.1
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4
Third
5518
#22
120.10.6
121.9121.2
Auto15.8
Teleop93.2
End11.9
red by 3.6
4828
#25
116.50.6
118.8119.5
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed