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Qual 392018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red424
5190212.5
6888110.0
435115.0
Blue127
4935135.2
6215114.3
900145.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372590100200300400500600424127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#3
212.50.4
207.3→206.9
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
red by 67.1
900
#9
145.40.4
145.0→145.4
Auto18.6
Teleop106.6
End20.8
Second
435
#29
115.00.8
111.5→112.2
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End12.2
blue by 20.3
4935
#27
135.20.2
136.4→136.6
Auto17.6
Teleop105.8
End12.6
Third
6888
#26
110.00.0
104.6→104.5
Auto17.3
Teleop91.5
End5.7
blue by 4.3
6215
#31
114.30.8
117.5→116.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed