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Red217
4795171.8
3506140.1
3196137.4
Blue360
2682161.4
5511128.0
2642214.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283395100200500600217360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#11
171.80.5
171.0171.4
Auto23.3
Teleop126.5
End22.6
blue by 43.1
214.91.2
213.8215.0
Auto23.6
Teleop159.1
End32.9
Second
3506
#23
140.10.4
141.8142.2
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End11.2
blue by 21.3
2682
#12
161.41.1
158.1159.2
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
Third
3196
#13
137.41.4
129.1130.5
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End14.9
red by 9.4
5511
#18
128.00.2
126.8126.6
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed