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Qual 422018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red212
5160134.2
6502173.5
3229135.5
Blue413
4290169.1
6565105.2
6500136.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341309200400500600212413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#2
173.50.5
168.9→169.4
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
red by 4.4
4290
#6
169.11.8
160.2→162.1
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
Second
3229
#19
135.50.4
137.9→138.3
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
blue by 1.4
6500
#30
136.90.1
135.3→135.4
Auto16.6
Teleop105.9
End13.2
Third
5160
#28
134.21.0
137.2→138.2
Auto16.9
Teleop98.6
End18.1
red by 29.0
6565
#24
105.20.8
100.5→101.3
Auto17.1
Teleop80.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed