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Qual 432018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red386
6908136.3
2059214.7
587126.8
Blue281
5544160.5
2682161.4
6932116.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360309100200400500600700386281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#8
214.70.2
210.6→210.9
Auto24.8
Teleop169.7
End17.0
red by 53.3
2682
#12
161.40.7
159.2→159.9
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
Second
6908
#21
136.30.3
135.1→134.8
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4
blue by 24.3
5544
#16
160.51.1
159.8→160.8
Auto18.0
Teleop125.1
End16.1
Third
587
#14
126.80.8
124.0→124.7
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
red by 10.0
6932
#32
116.80.3
118.4→118.1
Auto16.1
Teleop89.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed