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Red339
5190212.5
3229135.5
6565105.2
Blue295
1533192.1
4290169.1
4561199.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262447200300400500600700800339295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212.50.5
206.9207.4
Auto24.4
Teleop160.6
End27.5
red by 13.1
4561
#10
199.30.6
197.4198.1
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
Second
3229
#19
135.50.4
138.3137.9
Auto17.7
Teleop94.6
End21.8
blue by 56.6
192.11.2
192.9194.1
Auto25.3
Teleop140.3
End29.1
Third
6565
#24
105.21.6
101.3102.9
Auto17.1
Teleop80.2
End9.1
blue by 63.9
169.12.5
162.1164.6
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned