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Qual 502018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red355
5511128.0
4561199.3
6888110.0
Blue364
6500136.9
6502173.5
6908136.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293322100200400500355364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#10
199.30.3
198.1→197.7
Auto24.6
Teleop144.6
End31.7
red by 25.8
6502
#2
173.50.0
169.1→169.1
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End14.8
Second
5511
#18
128.00.3
126.2→126.5
Auto16.7
Teleop106.6
End4.3
blue by 8.9
6500
#30
136.90.1
136.4→136.5
Auto16.6
Teleop105.9
End13.2
Third
6888
#26
110.01.4
105.3→106.7
Auto17.3
Teleop91.5
End5.7
blue by 26.3
6908
#21
136.30.2
134.8→135.0
Auto15.8
Teleop110.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed