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Qual 512018 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red419
6003133.8
4290169.1
2682161.4
Blue196
3737156.3
587126.8
6215114.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394268100200300500600700419196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#6
169.11.2
164.6→165.7
Auto20.3
Teleop128.5
End20.4
red by 12.8
3737
#4
156.31.5
153.1→154.6
Auto21.6
Teleop105.4
End29.0
Second
2682
#12
161.40.5
159.9→160.4
Auto18.3
Teleop120.0
End21.6
red by 34.6
587
#14
126.80.0
125.7→125.7
Auto18.2
Teleop92.9
End15.1
Third
6003
#17
133.80.4
135.2→134.8
Auto16.2
Teleop101.4
End13.2
red by 19.5
6215
#31
114.30.1
115.6→115.5
Auto15.5
Teleop86.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed