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Red157
5919103.3
481682.8
4561170.7
Blue291
587130.0
5518118.1
3459130.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392740100200400500600157291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.79.5
120.9130.3
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 40.7
587
#21
130.01.2
135.7134.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.0
End14.2
Second
5919
#25
103.33.9
88.192.0
Auto13.8
Teleop85.6
End5.3
blue by 26.6
130.02.0
105.8107.9
Auto15.4
Teleop105.3
End12.5
Third
4816
#33
82.82.5
94.597.0
Auto12.2
Teleop69.3
End4.8
blue by 35.3
5518
#10
118.16.9
104.3111.2
Auto14.1
Teleop94.5
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed