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Red138
4291111.3
5762102.8
4828102.9
Blue259
3796109.1
2655165.1
5607100.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2102910100400500138259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4291
#22
111.36.4
98.1104.5
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
blue by 53.8
165.18.8
119.0127.7
Auto16.7
Teleop129.1
End21.6
Second
102.95.5
94.099.4
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
blue by 6.1
3796
#15
109.19.7
93.0102.7
Auto13.8
Teleop89.9
End4.1
Third
5762
#30
102.89.0
82.191.0
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
red by 2.7
5607
#26
100.02.7
97.7100.3
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed