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Red80
642695.2
587130.0
6500130.0
Blue222
5511134.5
2640104.3
6729123.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28429810020040050080222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#21
130.00.2
137.4137.2
Auto18.1
Teleop96.0
End14.2
blue by 4.4
134.515.2
81.997.1
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
Second
6500
#17
130.014.1
92.2106.2
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2
red by 6.4
6729
#18
123.614.5
88.2102.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
Third
6426
#27
95.217.7
59.276.9
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
blue by 9.1
2640
#23
104.314.7
86.4101.1
Auto10.8
Teleop87.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed