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Red298
3737124.1
4561170.7
4291111.3
Blue49
5762102.8
6332103.3
5919103.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31824010020040050029849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.713.5
98.0111.5
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 67.4
5919
#25
103.317.4
62.579.8
Auto13.8
Teleop85.6
End5.3
Second
3737
#19
124.114.8
85.5100.3
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
red by 20.8
6332
#29
103.315.6
78.393.9
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
Third
4291
#22
111.316.5
70.386.7
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
red by 8.5
5762
#30
102.818.2
54.973.2
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed