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Red124
656595.8
3796109.1
6334138.1
Blue408
2682135.8
5919103.3
642695.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2811950100400500600124408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6334
#20
138.12.0
122.1124.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
red by 2.3
2682
#12
135.85.5
116.6122.1
Auto15.8
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Second
3796
#15
109.16.4
102.7109.2
Auto13.8
Teleop89.9
End4.1
red by 5.8
5919
#25
103.31.1
92.093.1
Auto13.8
Teleop85.6
End5.3
Third
6565
#24
95.81.1
92.793.8
Auto15.8
Teleop73.6
End5.9
red by 0.6
6426
#27
95.20.7
88.889.5
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed