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Red190
6332103.3
2642163.7
651298.8
Blue287
6215103.4
3737124.1
6729123.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342440100200300400500190287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.74.5
126.4130.9
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
red by 39.6
3737
#19
124.11.7
111.6113.2
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
Second
6332
#29
103.30.4
108.7108.2
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
blue by 20.3
6729
#18
123.60.7
117.0117.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
Third
6512
#28
98.82.2
95.397.5
Auto13.6
Teleop80.0
End6.6
blue by 4.6
6215
#16
103.42.4
91.093.4
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed