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Red232
6334138.1
5607100.0
587130.0
Blue315
5511134.5
6500130.0
2655165.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220308100400500600232315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6334
#20
138.11.1
124.1125.2
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
blue by 27.0
165.15.7
133.6139.3
Auto16.7
Teleop129.1
End21.6
Second
587
#21
130.00.2
133.9134.1
Auto18.1
Teleop96.0
End14.2
blue by 4.4
134.55.9
114.1120.0
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
Third
5607
#26
100.00.1
102.0101.9
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
blue by 30.0
6500
#17
130.00.3
117.8118.1
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed