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Red148
321599.9
4828102.9
6500130.0
Blue257
642695.2
4561170.7
6332103.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230270100150200250300350400148257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#17
130.03.2
118.3121.5
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2
blue by 40.7
170.74.4
143.2147.7
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
Second
102.92.5
102.9100.4
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
blue by 0.3
6332
#29
103.31.8
108.4106.6
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
Third
3215
#31
99.90.0
98.298.2
Auto11.9
Teleop83.4
End5.0
red by 4.7
6426
#27
95.21.4
88.189.5
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed