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Red175
3459130.0
5511134.5
5607100.0
Blue269
651298.8
3822120.3
3737124.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237231150200250300175269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.50.6
124.0124.6
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
red by 10.3
3737
#19
124.10.1
116.4116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
Second
130.02.4
118.5121.0
Auto15.4
Teleop105.3
End12.5
red by 9.6
3822
#11
120.33.7
106.8110.4
Auto15.0
Teleop96.1
End7.3
Third
5607
#26
100.01.7
102.4100.6
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
red by 1.2
6512
#28
98.80.1
99.499.5
Auto13.6
Teleop80.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed