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Red337
6215103.4
5190174.2
5762102.8
Blue230
2682135.8
3822120.3
5607100.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472650200400600800337230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.24.5
147.9152.4
Auto21.4
Teleop130.0
End26.2
red by 38.5
2682
#12
135.81.7
128.8130.5
Auto15.8
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Second
6215
#16
103.40.2
97.597.2
Auto15.8
Teleop82.1
End9.1
blue by 16.9
3822
#11
120.34.0
114.5118.5
Auto15.0
Teleop96.1
End7.3
Third
5762
#30
102.81.0
101.1102.2
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
red by 2.7
5607
#26
100.02.5
100.097.5
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed