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Red436
2655165.1
4291111.3
2059149.6
Blue262
481682.8
642695.2
6334138.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3591570100200300400500600436262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.14.1
151.7155.8
Auto16.7
Teleop129.1
End21.6
red by 27.0
6334
#20
138.11.9
130.1132.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
Second
149.62.2
140.5142.8
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
red by 54.4
6426
#27
95.20.4
90.991.3
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
Third
4291
#22
111.30.0
105.0105.0
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
red by 28.5
4816
#33
82.83.0
87.784.7
Auto12.2
Teleop69.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed