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Red354
6500130.0
4561170.7
5518118.1
Blue208
2640104.3
6240101.6
2655165.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336234100200300400500354208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.74.5
154.7159.2
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 5.7
165.14.9
155.8160.7
Auto16.7
Teleop129.1
End21.6
Second
6500
#17
130.00.7
126.1126.8
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2
red by 25.7
2640
#23
104.32.1
107.3105.3
Auto10.8
Teleop87.8
End9.2
Third
5518
#10
118.12.1
119.8117.7
Auto14.1
Teleop94.5
End10.2
red by 16.5
6240
#32
101.60.2
101.1101.3
Auto16.5
Teleop73.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed