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Red215
6334138.1
6729123.6
4828102.9
Blue235
4291111.3
321599.9
3459130.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012300100200400500215235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6334
#20
138.12.0
132.0133.9
Auto17.0
Teleop104.4
End21.5
red by 8.1
130.01.5
124.6126.1
Auto15.4
Teleop105.3
End12.5
Second
6729
#18
123.61.0
125.1124.1
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
red by 12.3
4291
#22
111.32.1
105.0107.0
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
Third
102.90.4
99.799.3
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
red by 3.0
3215
#31
99.90.2
100.099.8
Auto11.9
Teleop83.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed