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Red86
3336111.1
6332103.3
6729123.6
Blue323
5190174.2
656595.8
481682.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25726010015020030086323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6729
#18
123.60.4
123.5124.0
Auto14.3
Teleop91.8
End18.0
blue by 50.7
174.24.8
162.2167.0
Auto21.4
Teleop130.0
End26.2
Second
3336
#14
111.11.3
109.7111.0
Auto16.0
Teleop87.7
End6.9
red by 15.2
6565
#24
95.80.8
96.095.3
Auto15.8
Teleop73.6
End5.9
Third
6332
#29
103.30.4
103.6103.3
Auto15.4
Teleop81.8
End6.1
red by 20.5
4816
#33
82.80.1
82.982.8
Auto12.2
Teleop69.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed