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Red491
4561170.7
651298.8
5607100.0
Blue199
2059149.6
3822120.3
642695.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343030100200400500600491199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.72.2
162.9165.2
Auto25.6
Teleop123.3
End25.1
red by 21.2
149.61.1
148.5149.5
Auto18.0
Teleop124.0
End8.1
Second
5607
#26
100.00.7
96.096.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End8.9
blue by 20.3
3822
#11
120.30.1
121.2121.1
Auto15.0
Teleop96.1
End7.3
Third
6512
#28
98.80.5
99.498.8
Auto13.6
Teleop80.0
End6.6
red by 3.7
6426
#27
95.21.8
93.495.2
Auto14.2
Teleop74.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed