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Red341
6500130.0
3459130.0
3737124.1
Blue116
3796109.1
4291111.3
2642163.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277278150200250300341116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#17
130.01.0
127.9128.9
Auto14.7
Teleop99.3
End18.2
blue by 33.8
163.74.0
156.4160.4
Auto18.4
Teleop124.6
End26.2
Second
130.01.2
127.6128.8
Auto15.4
Teleop105.3
End12.5
red by 18.7
4291
#22
111.32.2
108.8110.9
Auto17.5
Teleop85.6
End12.2
Third
3737
#19
124.10.6
123.5122.9
Auto14.7
Teleop97.0
End14.3
red by 15.0
3796
#15
109.11.3
111.6110.4
Auto13.8
Teleop89.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed