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Red222
6240101.6
5511134.5
5762102.8
Blue294
6004114.7
2682135.8
4828102.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433100100200400500600222294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.52.5
129.8132.3
Auto14.0
Teleop111.5
End7.2
blue by 1.3
2682
#12
135.81.7
132.9134.7
Auto15.8
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Second
5762
#30
102.81.3
104.1102.8
Auto15.3
Teleop81.6
End1.7
blue by 11.9
6004
#13
114.71.5
112.2113.8
Auto13.5
Teleop85.4
End18.7
Third
6240
#32
101.60.0
101.6101.6
Auto16.5
Teleop73.7
End12.0
blue by 1.4
102.91.3
99.3100.6
Auto17.0
Teleop77.8
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed