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Quarterfinal 2-12018 NC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red281
3506136.2
4795162.3
6003118.0
Blue277
4290140.1
5160141.3
6500131.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321306100200400500600281277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#5
162.30.6
160.0→160.6
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
red by 21.0
5160
#6
141.30.2
141.0→141.2
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
Second
3506
#12
136.20.9
133.1→133.9
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
blue by 3.9
4290
#14
140.10.2
139.8→139.9
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
Third
6003
#31
118.00.0
118.1→118.1
Auto14.4
Teleop88.8
End14.9
blue by 13.1
6500
#17
131.00.3
130.5→130.8
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End14.9