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Red416
2059177.8
2642204.8
6729116.5
Blue274
3506136.2
4795162.3
6003118.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413267100200300500600700416274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.80.9
202.1203.0
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
red by 42.5
162.30.5
161.8162.3
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Second
177.80.7
175.6176.3
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
red by 41.6
3506
#12
136.20.7
135.5136.2
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
Third
6729
#18
116.50.2
117.0116.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.7
End12.9
blue by 1.5
6003
#31
118.00.0
118.0118.0
Auto14.4
Teleop88.8
End14.9