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Red314
6908120.3
4935135.6
3796105.7
Blue284
900139.6
5518120.9
5544123.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26928102004006008001,000314284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.60.7
133.8134.4
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
blue by 4.0
900
#11
139.60.8
135.6136.4
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
Second
120.30.6
118.7119.3
Auto12.7
Teleop98.2
End9.0
blue by 2.7
5544
#19
123.00.3
121.3121.6
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
Third
3796
#15
105.70.2
105.1105.4
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
blue by 15.2
5518
#10
120.90.1
120.1120.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1